Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970c5e7bda3e1e53d27d4436809f46e2d0fe2178460b7bed4734cc317f5c5494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, ONSIDE GAMING
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf0c…6ab2backed ONSIDE GAMING | 36c | 6,355$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…2a33backed ONSIDE GAMING | 30c | 3,034$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 1,775$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.81 | 1,619 | 37.5%607 W · 1,012 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ONSIDE GAMING | 1c | 1,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 229 | 17.5%40 W · 189 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Paper Rex | 73c | 1,658$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex | 63c | 1,307$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.57 | 1,375 | 39%536 W · 839 L | -59.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex | 65c | 942$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 833 | 35.2%293 W · 540 L | -60.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…4526backed ONSIDE GAMING | 35c | 863.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Paper Rex | 64c | 655$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed ONSIDE GAMING | 16c | 356.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 310.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +111%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 291 | 40.9%119 W · 172 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Paper Rex | 64c | 272$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 397 | 66.2%263 W · 134 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Paper Rex | 75c | 262.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Paper Rex | 68c | 224$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 151.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 1,271 | 49.6%630 W · 641 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f4…c220backed Paper Rex | 69c | 127.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Paper Rex | 70c | 124$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex | 68c | 122.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1,329 | 43.6%580 W · 749 L | -47.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Paper Rex | 70c | 120.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 71c | 113.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 444 | 59.5%264 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed ONSIDE GAMING | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 99.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 720 | 43.3%312 W · 408 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 84.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 929 | 33.2%308 W · 621 L | -91.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Paper Rex | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ONSIDE GAMING | 25c | 59.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,517 | 46.6%707 W · 810 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Paper Rex | 71c | 54.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 28c | 47.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 907 | 44.4%403 W · 504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed ONSIDE GAMING | 35c | 44.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 184 | 61.4%113 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 71c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 359 | 56%201 W · 158 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Paper Rex | 70c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 427 | 47.1%201 W · 226 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…5ac0backed Paper Rex | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Paper Rex | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 217 | 41.9%91 W · 126 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.