Tennis · resolved market
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Katherine Sebov vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be8309678e049adce3a676a72cd1ea4739defd30bbf1a7cd68dc0626b6da4b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katherine Sebovof Katherine Sebov, Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 4c | 28,910$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 7c | 3,106$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Katherine Sebov | 75c | 1,882$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.88 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 21c | 1,281$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Katherine Sebov | 79c | 500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 10c | 497.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Katherine Sebov | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 27c | 225.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 7c | 205.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 9c | 200.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 9c | 173.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Katherine Sebov | 73c | 103.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 28c | 71.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | 28c | 69.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Katherine Sebov | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Katherine Sebov | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Katherine Sebov | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Katherine Sebov | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Katherine Sebov | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Katherine Sebov | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Katherine Sebov | 73c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Katherine Sebov | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…0d78backed Katherine Sebov | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Katherine Sebov | 75c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Katherine Sebov | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Katherine Sebov | 73c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Katherine Sebov | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.