Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1febd191b86077c085cc315b88e45848a771d47ee47d71f81ef605e64ff81e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 7,951$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.04 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…baa2backed Over | 70c | 5,569$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…ea58backed Over | 66c | 5,530$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd1…44c7backed Under | 54c | 4,686$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…538bbacked Over | 46c | 4,534$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 32c | 1,250$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 55c | 1,240$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.83 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 34c | 846.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.79 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 32c | 486$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 281.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…400dbacked Over | 66c | 273.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 45c | 253.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 32c | 243.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 55c | 162.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Over | 66c | 155.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Under | 34c | 130.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 37c | 80.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 44c | 78.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 60c | 72.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…30e0backed Over | 45c | 62.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Over | 51c | 57.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 34c | 38.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Over | 45c | 32.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 45c | 30.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 56c | 29.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 65c | 22.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 54c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 59c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.