NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d30e18679afbede74322067495d38bf3f8446395dd9fc721b5ba019db9df825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hornets | 0c | 37,515$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 11c | 30,119$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.89 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 10c | 26,875$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hornets | 12c | 18,636$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.81 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Hornets | 11c | 13,469$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.6 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 15c | 11,173$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.32 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 12c | 8,860$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.92 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 7,186$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 14c | 6,320$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.96 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets | 0c | 5,755$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…70e8backed Hornets | 11c | 5,462$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…1686backed Hornets | 14c | 4,070$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 11c | 4,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 12c | 3,998$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.75 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…dea6backed Hornets | 14c | 3,880$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 3,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Hornets | 15c | 3,130$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Hornets | 11c | 3,115$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 11c | 2,786$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 2c | 2,420$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Hornets | 1c | 2,127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…7c88backed Hornets | 11c | 1,909$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Hornets | 14c | 1,381$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,241$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 5c | 1,207$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1aecbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Hornets | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 2c | 924.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…f4c6backed Hornets | 16c | 868.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Hornets | 4c | 818$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 14c | 708.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Hornets | 3c | 699.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Hornets | 15c | 699.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Hornets | 13c | 672$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Hornets | 13c | 671.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…38a8backed Hornets | 16c | 669.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Hornets | 16c | 664.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Hornets | 14c | 599.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Hornets | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Hornets | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…dee4backed Hornets | 14c | 499.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 8c | 477.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 13c | 449.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Hornets | 12c | 422$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Hornets | 15c | 380.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…9e7dbacked Hornets | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Hornets | 8c | 355.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 14c | 352.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…e609backed Hornets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4837…fb67backed Hornets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Hornets | 16c | 312.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Hornets | 11c | 277.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 13c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Hornets | 11c | 215.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hornets | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Hornets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…8e37backed Hornets | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hornets | 12c | 184.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 9c | 171.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 12c | 161.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Hornets | 13c | 158.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…9e20backed Hornets | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d256backed Hornets | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…b4a9backed Hornets | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5d…3553backed Hornets | 13c | 121.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06d3…e776backed Hornets | 14c | 111.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Hornets | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…bd9abacked Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…e7e2backed Hornets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Hornets | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…3e91backed Hornets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…003fbacked Hornets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…2a7cbacked Hornets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Hornets | 14c | 99.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Hornets | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 11c | 90.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…fc34backed Hornets | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed Hornets | 14c | 79.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Hornets | 16c | 64.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…275ebacked Hornets | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…518dbacked Thunder | 80c | 22.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…4607backed Thunder | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…99b7backed Thunder | 75c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…2405backed Thunder | 79c | 20.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…a04abacked Thunder | 79c | 19.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…c2cdbacked Thunder | 76c | 18.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…3f9abacked Thunder | 80c | 15.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…16ffbacked Thunder | 73c | 14.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…9542backed Thunder | 74c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.