Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Minghui Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d31cdc3d32e1e03b614b38f249cb229891b9deb73bbb84cb9f37db79689b05d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yaojie Zengof Yaojie Zeng, Minghui Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Minghui Zhang | 30c | 3,381$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yaojie Zeng | 77c | 761.76$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yaojie Zeng | 66c | 690.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Minghui Zhang | 21c | 471.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yaojie Zeng | 79c | 431.86$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yaojie Zeng | 67c | 384$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yaojie Zeng | 49c | 151.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Yaojie Zeng | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Minghui Zhang | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Minghui Zhang | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yaojie Zeng | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 74c | 122$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 68c | 105.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Minghui Zhang | 40c | 79.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Yaojie Zeng | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 66c | 53.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Yaojie Zeng | 79c | 42.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yaojie Zeng | 65c | 40.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yaojie Zeng | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yaojie Zeng | 59c | 37.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Minghui Zhang | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yaojie Zeng | 64c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.