South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d528e5beee3644603bb56a18f8d86b638aada0051cd646ea48bf6ca40befa51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 11,049$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.04 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 5,359$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.79 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 3,664$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 2,829$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 43c | 2,644$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.87 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 2,365$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 2,138$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 1,340$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 3c | 833.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 653$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.32 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 20c | 621.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 609.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 508$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 272$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 42c | 247.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 56c | 244$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 237.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 73c | 205.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 72c | 156.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 144.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 108.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 93.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 66.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 60c | 49.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 43c | 46.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 59c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 39.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 58c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 61c | 28.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 28.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 56c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed Under | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 18.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)Club Universitario de Deportes won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)Club Universitario de Deportes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.