South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a4061fcbe5c0dd7f8d5683791329d078cf6ccedec85613ad7553c3204a9127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 30c | 10,146$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.94 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 12c | 7,389$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.34 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 6,803$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.93 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 4,625$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.11 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 3,075$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.26 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 2,665$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.79 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 80c | 1,992$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 1,152$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.18 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 887.77$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 33c | 587.91$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 542.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 430.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.37 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 47c | 165.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 163.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 33c | 119.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 72c | 118.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 66c | 116.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 115$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 106.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 30c | 86.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 29c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Over | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 69c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 73c | 47.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 39.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 61c | 38.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 63c | 37.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 66c | 37.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 34.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 50c | 27.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 76c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 63c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 64c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Over | 67c | 18.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 62c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 71c | 14.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)Club Universitario de Deportes won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)Club Universitario de Deportes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.