TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over24c2,508$602 inLost-$602.0214330.8%44 W · 99 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under76c1,897$1,445 inWon+$452.091,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over25c1,316$330 inLost-$330.1530048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c797.78$611 inWon+$187.113,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Over23c668.21$154 inLost-$153.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over4c537$21 inLost-$20.8512827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c313.58$240 inWon+$73.912,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under76c267.69$203 inWon+$64.672,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under75c255.23$191 inWon+$64.553836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over23c226.67$53 inLost-$532931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c202.42$154 inWon+$48.582,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under76c200.15$152 inWon+$47.8778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over24c177$42 inLost-$42.482343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over9c166.67$15 inLost-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under76c164$125 inWon+$39.361,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c130$31 inLost-$31.244939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under76c123$93 inWon+$29.5221349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over24c64.58$15 inLost-$15.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+71.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over24c62.5$15 inLost-$153429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over24c62.5$15 inLost-$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under77c40.02$31 inWon+$9.361,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under80c20$16 inWon+$4.053672.2%26 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick77cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under76c20$15 inWon+$4.842462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Under79c19.07$15 inWon+$4.073138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.