Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dfdb23426c55801371e411ed669b14bbd73d008511c655343d2c16eafd6bdd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andradeof Ficovich, Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ficovich | 14c | 2,798$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Andrade | 77c | 1,992$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Andrade | 60c | 1,851$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.76 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andrade | 63c | 1,738$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.84 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrade | 68c | 1,393$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.09 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ficovich | 44c | 782.54$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.41 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ficovich | 47c | 510$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrade | 65c | 505.1$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Ficovich | 43c | 462.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ficovich | 71c | 356.57$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrade | 35c | 331.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Ficovich | 46c | 324.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ficovich | 35c | 312.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Ficovich | 72c | 306.53$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.77 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ficovich | 46c | 285.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ficovich | 43c | 263.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ficovich | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Ficovich | 44c | 179.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ficovich | 46c | 162.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ac…254ebacked Ficovich | 62c | 153.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Andrade | 57c | 141.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andrade | 53c | 140.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Ficovich | 76c | 132.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Ficovich | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Ficovich | 68c | 119.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Andrade | 50c | 109.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ficovich | 43c | 98.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Andrade | 51c | 92.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Andrade | 59c | 92.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Andrade | 27c | 92.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Andrade | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Andrade | 65c | 78.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Andrade | 56c | 70.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ficovich | 45c | 63.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrade | 49c | 62.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Andrade | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Andrade | 57c | 52.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Andrade | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Andrade | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ficovich | 42c | 45.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andrade | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Ficovich | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ficovich | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Andrade | 58c | 39.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…4840backed Ficovich | 79c | 38.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ficovich | 65c | 23.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ficovich | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.