TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Madrid: Ivan Ivanov vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdoof Ivan Ivanov, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Ivanov5c3,756$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.368,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c2,257$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.95048%24 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Ivan Ivanov58c1,507$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.922856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c1,373$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ivan Ivanov39c1,101$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.446,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo62c1,050$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Ivan Ivanov44c995.56$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.044850%24 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Ivan Ivanov70c982$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.3516242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ivan Ivanov43c778.98$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.413,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Ivan Ivanov43c676.62$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0916029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ivan Ivanov42c671.3$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.893,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Ivan Ivanov39c483.16$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5753752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo74c461.3$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.084,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Ivan Ivanov42c450$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.529230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ivan Ivanov49c428.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.342,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo77c384.23$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3720459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ivan Ivanov44c361.29$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.033,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo58c312.22$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.181,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ivan Ivanov24c248.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.42,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ivan Ivanov6c241.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.422,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Ivan Ivanov43c241.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.481,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo42c209.53$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.452,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Ivan Ivanov14c194.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5630715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo41c183$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9737741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.497663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Ivan Ivanov43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…cafebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo76c129.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo41c118.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.146,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Ivan Ivanov43c105.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0525756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo75c105$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0291880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Ivan Ivanov45c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.451,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo52c100.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7147252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ivan Ivanov34c97.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.582,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ivan Ivanov45c94.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c94.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.485358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo59c88.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4624249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.254650%23 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf91…dc43backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c80.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.613261.4%81 W · 51 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo58c77.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7885250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ivan Ivanov42c76.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.27,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c74.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0830349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo30c72.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9749342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Ivan Ivanov16c72.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3457953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Ivan Ivanov39c64.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1223634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Ivan Ivanov45c64.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Ivan Ivanov44c62.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5358734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Ivan Ivanov44c62.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3918957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ivan Ivanov36c60.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.536,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Ivan Ivanov46c59.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2936135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ivan Ivanov40c59.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.63,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo58c58.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5738754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe68…1969backed Ivan Ivanov44c56.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo44c49.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Ivan Ivanov45c49.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1950259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo76c46.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Ivan Ivanov45c45.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3157349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Ivan Ivanov45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2558453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x410c…15f7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo59c40.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.449856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo51c38.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0212444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ivan Ivanov38c37.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.344,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Ivan Ivanov40c36.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610044%44 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c34.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1427664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa764…7014backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Ivan Ivanov46c34.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8548652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Ivan Ivanov46c34.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8541658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo54c32.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6443558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Ivan Ivanov46c31.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4915059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo56c27.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Ivan Ivanov46c27.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4839955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo59c26.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.883545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…ac34backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c26.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6410353.4%55 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Ivan Ivanov46c25.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ivan Ivanov44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Ivan Ivanov46c24.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.262450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Ivan Ivanov46c24.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1250156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Ivan Ivanov46c24.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1261752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2874955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo52c21.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.262429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.