Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Monteiro vs Herbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7f6db947a5869e30be9458397272740b407c0fefc5913efa37e8d9383a91ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteiroof Monteiro, Herbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4773…2289backed Herbert | 77c | 2,289$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.62 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Monteiro | 32c | 2,057$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Herbert | 57c | 1,472$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.13 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Monteiro | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.64 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Herbert | 48c | 807.17$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Monteiro | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Monteiro | 60c | 392.16$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Monteiro | 41c | 301.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Herbert | 79c | 275.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Herbert | 48c | 247.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Herbert | 41c | 121.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Herbert | 40c | 101.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Herbert | 65c | 79.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Monteiro | 35c | 79.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Herbert | 40c | 79.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Monteiro | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Herbert | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Monteiro | 54c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Herbert | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Monteiro vs Herbertthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Monteiro vs HerbertHerbert won
- Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues HerbertThiago Monteiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.