South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e8088c345cefab42433420ccda8fafbc3ce77e8e5d483558d5907cb9c3194e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Juárezof Club Tijuana, FC Juárez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed FC Juárez | 56c | 8,400$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Tijuana | 44c | 7,931$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Tijuana | 21c | 2,299$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.82 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Juárez | 71c | 744.45$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Tijuana | 45c | 485.78$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Club Tijuana | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…58d2backed Club Tijuana | 11c | 302.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Juárez | 58c | 189$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0124backed Club Tijuana | 43c | 183.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FC Juárez | 80c | 175.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FC Juárez | 78c | 106.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Club Tijuana | 43c | 106.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed FC Juárez | 78c | 106.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked FC Juárez | 78c | 101.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FC Juárez | 78c | 89.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Juárez | 78c | 89.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked FC Juárez | 77c | 87.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Juárez | 29c | 79.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Club Tijuana | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed FC Juárez | 79c | 70.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC Juárez | 68c | 65.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Club Tijuana | 36c | 58.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Club Tijuana | 26c | 53.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed FC Juárez | 79c | 49.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked FC Juárez | 37c | 42.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked FC Juárez | 79c | 33.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed FC Juárez | 79c | 33.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Club Tijuana | 79c | 23.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed FC Juárez | 79c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed FC Juárez | 79c | 21.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…dbdebacked FC Juárez | 60c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked FC Juárez | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed FC Juárez | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FC Juárez | 80c | 17.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed FC Juárez | 80c | 17.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked FC Juárez | 78c | 16.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…84ddbacked Club Tijuana | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)this page
- FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.