TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under47c127,576$59,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,919.7429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c49,548$26,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,287.5642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c15,059$8,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,971.828,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c11,452$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,381.6465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over50c9,973$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.991,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over53c8,228$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,867.166055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under48c5,535$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66611055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over53c4,800$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.781450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c3,959$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.545,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over53c3,784$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.4511856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c3,712$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c3,595$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.1457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c2,928$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.2333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over53c2,293$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.6441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c1,886$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.4250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c1,868$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.7151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c1,200$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over53c1,110$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c1,109$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under37c1,002$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.266753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c982.61$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.619567.4%64 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over53c943.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2115956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c908.56$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.351,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over53c765.12$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.613066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over53c713.06$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over53c707.05$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9628158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under44c674.8$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.941,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Over53c557.56$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.054156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c501.04$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.58351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c483.64$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.359248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over53c481.94$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9826160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c420.09$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c417.35$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.262,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over53c376.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0620059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under45c355.95$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.476944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over53c353.05$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0218154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c348$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.621,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c330$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9221752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.123333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1477852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over42c288.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3816449.4%81 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.157957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over66c212.8$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under54c208.03$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0219659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over54c208$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.724936.7%18 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under42c205.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.94231%13 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over54c196.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5719955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c192.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.43,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over53c189.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7619056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over54c183.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7727031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over53c176.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over54c173.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over51c170.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.866731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over54c169.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8516759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.55322.6%12 W · 41 L-9.0wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over52c144$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.629854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over53c138.86$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c134.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.262,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over47c127.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.871163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c124.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.212,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over53c116.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.192,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over52c108.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6318859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4544939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8af…44dcbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over55c98.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.017867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over55c95.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.624866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over53c94.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2244959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1824253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over53c93.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.092454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over27c93.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under39c86.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked Under44c83.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.541520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…90fdbacked Over73c81.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb719…b584backed Over53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under52c76.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.796845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Over53c75.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.441457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over55c74.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over53c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over51c67.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7915457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.674738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.911059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under57c57.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334850%24 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Over60c57.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Under56c55.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.453452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over51c54.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1511553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Over53c53.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c52.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6915654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over54c46.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5926…a9debacked Under55c45.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.