Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1efb82c5e3f4bb6f739a3200adc0dabfcfca2f64e0b9861a48db38fc6f5f304b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde6d…0926backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 13c | 4,945$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 78c | 1,508$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed VCU Rams | 77c | 1,070$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 35c | 836.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.41 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 15c | 720.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 698.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed VCU Rams | 41c | 694.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.34 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked VCU Rams | 38c | 511.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.42 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VCU Rams | 68c | 488.34$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 480.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 462.56$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 32c | 456.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 26c | 420.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 44c | 375.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed VCU Rams | 70c | 350.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 26c | 346.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 22c | 308$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 29c | 268.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 28c | 214.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed VCU Rams | 79c | 206$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed VCU Rams | 67c | 127$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked VCU Rams | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 16c | 98.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VCU Rams | 74c | 96.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VCU Rams | 68c | 78.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 71c | 77.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked VCU Rams | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. VCU Ramsthis page
- Spread: VCU Rams (-10.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. VCU Rams: O/U 155.5Over won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. VCU Rams: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.