CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4b71b76928b00a8b77db99446016a84e3aa8ad2fbdd54d4984289e58a76281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HAVU, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Famalicão Esports | 29c | 892.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.75 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HAVU | 65c | 881.83$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked HAVU | 77c | 870.69$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed HAVU | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed HAVU | 60c | 249.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 70c | 182$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 170.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 144.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 19c | 111.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed HAVU | 55c | 88.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HAVU | 57c | 74.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed FC Famalicão Esports | 28c | 44.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed HAVU | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed HAVU | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HAVU | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HAVU | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.