CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe088deb659c65e3260748c8b34f39e4641a825bf7c2d41c359a6b1a91350a9b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HAVU, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 8,982$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.65 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 46c | 4,059$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HAVU | 55c | 3,204$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.35 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked HAVU | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 57c | 2,024$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.09 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HAVU | 55c | 1,850$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HAVU | 67c | 1,835$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.02 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed HAVU | 76c | 1,317$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed HAVU | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed HAVU | 55c | 999$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 950.47$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed HAVU | 54c | 694.28$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.54 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão Esports | 38c | 693.38$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed HAVU | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 447.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed HAVU | 54c | 433.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 411.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 348.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 341.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 299.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 296$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 27c | 262.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed HAVU | 53c | 258.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed HAVU | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 7c | 201.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FC Famalicão Esports | 18c | 146.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed FC Famalicão Esports | 29c | 142.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 136$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 72c | 128.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked HAVU | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 24c | 107.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 103.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed HAVU | 55c | 101.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 101.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked HAVU | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed HAVU | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Famalicão Esports | 30c | 85.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 49c | 78.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed HAVU | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed HAVU | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…3496backed HAVU | 63c | 57.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 55.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed HAVU | 53c | 46.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 45.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 42.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked HAVU | 62c | 37.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 32.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 46c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked HAVU | 54c | 23.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked HAVU | 54c | 23.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed HAVU | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.