Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f72bf9e3431b295b4b8cd2d780b8f82086ed927ff25a4765837cea93bb395e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 1,638$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 6c | 944.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 78c | 706.87$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…3a47backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 22c | 700$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 681.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 617.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 13c | 613.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 6c | 563$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 391.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 17c | 364$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 11c | 299.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 13c | 276.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 259.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 243.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 232.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10c | 223.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10c | 163.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 141.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 117.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 12c | 100.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…7fafbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 28c | 70.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 55.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 54.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-10.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 151.5Over won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.