CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb691d8563bb03fa65a4204d61be9c3b85cd73853af5f8d72124860f541eaa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WBTof ex-MANA eSports, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked WBT | 44c | 820.37$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.62 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 386.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed WBT | 63c | 317.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 281.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed WBT | 44c | 227.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed WBT | 57c | 218.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WBT | 80c | 199.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed WBT | 72c | 174.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 171$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 128.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WBT | 64c | 127.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…45fcbacked WBT | 42c | 115.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked WBT | 40c | 112.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WBT | 69c | 87.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WBT | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked WBT | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 72.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed WBT | 72c | 66.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 60.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed WBT | 43c | 46.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked WBT | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 40.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WBT | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 33.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 25.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked WBT | 65c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerWBT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.