TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Oilers, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Devils44c26,247$11,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,588.467758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a83…8015backed Oilers55c13,213$7,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,289.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers55c10,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5201,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers53c8,517$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.8592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7f…09f2backed Devils45c7,116$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1d…a4e1backed Devils45c6,104$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…d27dbacked Devils44c3,406$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers3c3,400$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…cf6fbacked Devils44c3,355$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477d…1ad4backed Oilers56c2,623$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b21…26d5backed Oilers56c2,491$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers56c1,946$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.341,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…ff11backed Oilers56c1,647$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Oilers56c1,502$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.111553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb30…3e19backed Oilers55c1,501$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa144…8181backed Devils45c1,501$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Devils44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Oilers56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.977549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers55c1,385$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.1449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Oilers31c1,350$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42321620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865d…72e1backed Oilers59c1,136$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6671030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…480fbacked Devils44c915.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Devils49c903.85$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.123754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Oilers55c799.4$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6713846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fea…4976backed Oilers19c777$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers56c646.42$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d1…40fdbacked Devils43c616$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda18…5f61backed Oilers57c616$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Devils43c575.85$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers55c545$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Devils56c522.81$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.424831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4beb…e999backed Oilers57c505$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers53c504.04$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils50c500$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers56c499.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers55c496.96$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Oilers58c465.52$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers56c452.67$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…54dbbacked Oilers56c380.61$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers55c363.09$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers55c324$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…b4ddbacked Oilers57c320$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Oilers54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16226547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b0…6368backed Devils44c280$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Devils44c244.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Oilers18c238.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201f…b735backed Devils44c222.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd239…01c6backed Devils45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Oilers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5085…ab8fbacked Oilers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Oilers56c144.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils44c141.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4425552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Devils45c133.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.145147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Devils44c132.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3116437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d3…5005backed Devils46c111.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe944…d76ebacked Devils45c111.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.154100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+125.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88c6…002ebacked Devils45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…35bfbacked Devils46c107.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019c…c38abacked Devils45c107.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…5f7ebacked Devils45c104.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Devils44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5635154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…b14abacked Oilers80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc709…9253backed Devils44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…30bcbacked Oilers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Oilers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers56c99.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…f310backed Oilers56c95.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf642…ad67backed Oilers57c94.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd29…55ccbacked Devils46c93.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d78…290fbacked Oilers56c91.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.23875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43e…d04ebacked Oilers56c90.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Devils79c89.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.436940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe89…e597backed Oilers56c88.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…d6a2backed Oilers56c88.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b30…6a04backed Oilers56c87.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc067…c09dbacked Oilers56c85.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb069…11d1backed Devils45c82.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oilers56c82.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9329748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…7029backed Oilers56c82.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9128…0b5abacked Oilers56c81.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oilers56c80.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9460549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee98…f6efbacked Devils44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92e…e32bbacked Oilers57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e5…0fa4backed Devils43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a7…a217backed Oilers57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…e453backed Devils43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96c…087ebacked Devils43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…de75backed Oilers56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ece…1da2backed Oilers57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Oilers55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ad…3055backed Devils43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…1bb1backed Oilers57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-54%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Devils44c72.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Oilers56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.