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Tennis · resolved market

Piracicaba: Nicolas Kicker vs Nicolas Zanellato

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Kickerof Nicolas Kicker, Nicolas Zanellato
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c50…e0c9backed Nicolas Zanellato29c10,395$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Nicolas Zanellato3c9,745$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.083417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nicolas Zanellato11c6,213$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4145737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Kicker71c5,170$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.173,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Nicolas Zanellato1c1,885$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.092,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Nicolas Zanellato20c1,275$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.391,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Kicker70c1,128$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.749,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Nicolas Zanellato21c1,043$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3596945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Nicolas Zanellato32c1,041$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.021,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Zanellato36c1,000$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.959,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1c…13f4backed Nicolas Zanellato14c694.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Zanellato18c666.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolas Kicker79c637.44$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.233,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Nicolas Kicker64c523.44$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4455357.3%317 W · 236 L+34.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Nicolas Kicker65c516.44$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4452457.3%300 W · 224 L+29.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Zanellato10c361.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.665,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolas Zanellato10c328.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.442,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Nicolas Zanellato12c228.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Nicolas Zanellato18c207$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2645744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Nicolas Kicker64c196.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.072,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Nicolas Zanellato8c178.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Nicolas Zanellato24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037221.5%80 W · 292 L+1.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Nicolas Zanellato18c135.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Nicolas Zanellato16c115.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7461924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Nicolas Zanellato33c112.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6973951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Nicolas Kicker76c109.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.497751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Zanellato19c106$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Nicolas Zanellato23c100.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.891,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nicolas Kicker77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Nicolas Zanellato19c97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Nicolas Zanellato20c85.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Nicolas Zanellato36c80.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Zanellato17c75.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.892,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Nicolas Zanellato16c71.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1718430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nicolas Zanellato20c71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Nicolas Zanellato18c70.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7652910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Nicolas Zanellato19c69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1155032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Nicolas Zanellato18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.835641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nicolas Zanellato22c50.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Zanellato34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Nicolas Kicker70c48.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5913354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Nicolas Kicker69c48.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.055549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nicolas Zanellato23c45.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Nicolas Zanellato29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.731,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Nicolas Kicker76c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1292352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nicolas Zanellato36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.962,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Nicolas Kicker67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8599148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8202backed Nicolas Kicker79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Nicolas Kicker71c16.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8124748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.