NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206b1b336ea0c11d80abe31aa7428b83e3cc160d46311f76cbcdef234926742c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 58,164$29,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,502.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked 76ers | 49c | 47,724$23,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,384.9 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers | 55c | 8,939$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.77 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 49c | 5,143$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.29 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 49c | 3,570$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Grizzlies | 46c | 3,059$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked 76ers | 52c | 2,156$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.87 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,529$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.44 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers | 48c | 1,519$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.96 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Grizzlies | 39c | 1,309$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Grizzlies | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…4334backed 76ers | 48c | 1,120$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed 76ers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked 76ers | 42c | 1,097$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.64 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…28e5backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…6d5fbacked 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…8620backed Grizzlies | 51c | 972.55$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 52c | 811.88$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.94 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed 76ers | 50c | 763.5$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.62 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…162bbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 641.64$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked 76ers | 52c | 579.76$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 464.49$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 445.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked 76ers | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Grizzlies | 48c | 378.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Grizzlies | 50c | 215.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08af…503ebacked 76ers | 46c | 205$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5863…1f2ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 205$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Grizzlies | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed 76ers | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Grizzlies | 50c | 199.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked 76ers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers | 48c | 164$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Grizzlies | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 145.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Grizzlies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…19b0backed 76ers | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…f6d4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 102.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…c72abacked 76ers | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked 76ers | 10c | 100.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed 76ers | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed 76ers | 51c | 92.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…9cc5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 90.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 43c | 88.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Grizzlies | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Grizzlies | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed 76ers | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Grizzlies | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Grizzlies | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6f4fbacked 76ers | 52c | 48.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked 76ers | 26c | 41.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…b84bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…3374backed 76ers | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed 76ers | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed 76ers | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Grizzlies | 57c | 35.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Grizzlies | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…1d1abacked Grizzlies | 42c | 28.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…90f4backed 76ers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.