Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brasilia: Camila Romero vs Ana Candiotto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20750ec2e86de186291372d2f5e293bcbd84fdc23566d581db11197135c04bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camila Romeroof Camila Romero, Ana Candiotto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Camila Romero | 50c | 1,148$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Ana Candiotto | 50c | 965$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ana Candiotto | 17c | 544.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Ana Candiotto | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Camila Romero | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ana Candiotto | 49c | 278.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Camila Romero | 68c | 248.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Camila Romero | 51c | 231.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ana Candiotto | 50c | 209.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Camila Romero | 50c | 199.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…d809backed Camila Romero | 57c | 199.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Ana Candiotto | 53c | 198.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ana Candiotto | 48c | 144.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Camila Romero | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Camila Romero | 51c | 104.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Candiotto | 39c | 98.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ana Candiotto | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Camila Romero | 47c | 91.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Ana Candiotto | 52c | 78.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ana Candiotto | 20c | 76.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Camila Romero | 48c | 54.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Camila Romero | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Ana Candiotto | 53c | 51.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Camila Romero | 50c | 47.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ana Candiotto | 50c | 42.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ana Candiotto | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Ana Candiotto | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.