South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209eb695d268ae2c3c55c49dc5abe172475c008d638cc2d2d364b2e014c18b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 1,592$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 25c | 1,248$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…9e6dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,184$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 20c | 1,106$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 998.15$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…3152backed Yes | 54c | 933.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 45c | 831.11$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.11 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 655.34$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.35 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 458.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 41c | 334.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 298.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 272.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 198.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…f6efbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 53c | 184.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 13c | 182.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 54c | 111.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 105.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 101.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 41c | 73.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 42c | 71.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…a81ebacked Yes | 49c | 60.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 49c | 53.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…e24cbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 71c | 38.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 45c | 34.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…c7a7backed Yes | 46c | 32.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…21fbbacked Yes | 45c | 23.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.