CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20ba065f0fc2860346dc9c1df9d9fafa3e1c42ca631e5cf8e2877f3a7d6ab6fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof STATE, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed STATE | 43c | 3,396$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.85 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 35c | 1,210$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 1,175$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 1,003$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked STATE | 43c | 930$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 863.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.57 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 11c | 728.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 523.84$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 18c | 523.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 483.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 479.31$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 368.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 357.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 292.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked STATE | 43c | 199.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed STATE | 38c | 178.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed STATE | 10c | 166.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed STATE | 10c | 143.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed STATE | 18c | 135.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 119.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…cdadbacked STATE | 41c | 116.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed STATE | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 108.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 94.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 78.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked STATE | 40c | 65.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed STATE | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 61.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed STATE | 23c | 59.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed STATE | 57c | 56.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked STATE | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed STATE | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed STATE | 34c | 35.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed STATE | 41c | 29.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 27.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed STATE | 43c | 24.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.