South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c34780bacc23820fcbb3e3d326609980a35400f256e2a6b112e180b8d4503b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes | 27c | 39,998$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,198.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 28,165$20,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,559.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 73c | 2,876$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.43 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 73c | 1,433$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.27 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 73c | 1,433$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.27 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 61c | 1,323$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.05 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 1,297$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.17 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 73c | 924.72$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.04 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 73c | 852.33$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 2c | 736.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 74c | 537.79$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.42 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 472.86$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 462.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 73c | 452.68$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 63c | 374.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 73c | 365.03$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.47 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 73c | 287.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 73c | 251.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 74c | 194.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked No | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 73c | 100.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 73c | 86.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 83.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 61c | 75.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 73c | 74.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 73c | 51.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 39c | 49.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 73c | 44.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked No | 62c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 73c | 28.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed No | 73c | 26.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 74c | 18.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…feccbacked No | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)AA Estudiantes won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)AA Estudiantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.