TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
AA Estudiantesof CS Independiente Rivadavia, AA Estudiantes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,585 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc283…b876backed CS Independiente Rivadavia16c2,947$472 inLost-$471.597922.8%18 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CS Independiente Rivadavia19c1,146$220 inLost-$219.582,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed AA Estudiantes64c892.25$571 inWon+$321.212,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked CS Independiente Rivadavia38c815.79$310 inLost-$3101526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed CS Independiente Rivadavia36c796.23$288 inLost-$287.9334747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed CS Independiente Rivadavia75c722.47$544 inLost-$544.171,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia20c250$50 inLost-$5012331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CS Independiente Rivadavia36c229.25$83 inLost-$82.5355946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed CS Independiente Rivadavia38c135.26$51 inLost-$51.466837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed AA Estudiantes73c130.23$95 inWon+$35.683,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked AA Estudiantes62c129.16$80 inWon+$49.081,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed AA Estudiantes62c129.04$80 inWon+$49.047741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed AA Estudiantes77c113.78$88 inWon+$25.8763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked AA Estudiantes71c108$76 inWon+$31.8689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia27c99$27 inLost-$26.7324665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed AA Estudiantes62c97.1$60 inWon+$36.940451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed CS Independiente Rivadavia17c90.53$15 inLost-$1530231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed CS Independiente Rivadavia18c82.6$15 inLost-$15.1830048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed AA Estudiantes78c81.38$64 inWon+$17.5950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed AA Estudiantes79c75.91$60 inWon+$16.1269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed AA Estudiantes62c70.27$44 inWon+$26.72,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked AA Estudiantes55c50.02$27 inWon+$22.7329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed AA Estudiantes80c45.57$36 inWon+$9.2411155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed CS Independiente Rivadavia39c33.9$13 inLost-$13.372982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked AA Estudiantes52c30$15 inWon+$14.551,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed AA Estudiantes62c22$14 inWon+$8.3645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed CS Independiente Rivadavia80c15$12 inLost-$11.9512646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.