South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34109cc10a4443d8f38e3f93b21a3861f2f32de8f825967cd916b3365ace83a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 43c | 6,941$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.11 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 4c | 6,582$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 6c | 3,828$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Under | 6c | 3,371$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,958$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.07 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,396$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.94 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 13c | 1,277$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 51c | 718.34$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.19 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 6c | 663.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 50c | 605.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 8c | 575.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.61 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 4c | 548.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 473$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 56c | 436.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Under | 40c | 431.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 6c | 417$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 397.29$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Under | 61c | 326.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 66c | 310.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 39c | 275.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 23c | 232.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 6c | 216.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 18c | 200.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 23c | 183.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 178.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 60c | 173.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Under | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 72c | 150.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 15c | 132.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 77c | 116.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 34c | 91.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 62c | 79.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Under | 57c | 68.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Under | 43c | 57.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 42c | 54.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Over | 40c | 52.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 49.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 48.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…53cdbacked Under | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 31c | 41.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 49c | 32.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Over | 42c | 30.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 41c | 25.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 64c | 24.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 74c | 23.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 19.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 19.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…4492backed Under | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 76c | 13.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)AA Estudiantes won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)AA Estudiantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.