South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a3c5fdce22d4f23c90bae697eaaf5d25b66df9277afd05bdf50b0837fc5f54e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 4,665$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.15 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,312$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 27c | 932$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 76c | 607.16$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 403.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 69c | 276.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 71c | 222.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under | 21c | 218.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 31c | 187.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Over | 68c | 182.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 31c | 169.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 31c | 164.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 31c | 124.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 70c | 114.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 105.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 29c | 100.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 31c | 95.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 30c | 89.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 79c | 75.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…8d8bbacked Over | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c5ebacked Under | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 55c | 45.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 32c | 43.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 26c | 40.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Over | 75c | 28.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 67c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)AA Estudiantes won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)AA Estudiantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.