Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Avery Alexander vs Miho Kuramochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d59ac21c8d3e12374ea0a5d589c5a306545c3102588e9e0216f5c051210b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miho Kuramochiof Avery Alexander, Miho Kuramochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avery Alexander | 19c | 6,174$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.49 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Avery Alexander | 10c | 2,079$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miho Kuramochi | 70c | 1,812$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.12 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avery Alexander | 1c | 1,013$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Avery Alexander | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Avery Alexander | 25c | 349.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Avery Alexander | 25c | 328.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avery Alexander | 6c | 233.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Miho Kuramochi | 65c | 228.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Avery Alexander | 11c | 202.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Miho Kuramochi | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Avery Alexander | 6c | 175.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Miho Kuramochi | 68c | 170.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Avery Alexander | 15c | 97.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Avery Alexander | 19c | 95.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Avery Alexander | 17c | 78.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Avery Alexander | 18c | 60.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Miho Kuramochi | 69c | 57.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Miho Kuramochi | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Miho Kuramochi | 69c | 27.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…b882backed Miho Kuramochi | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Miho Kuramochi | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Miho Kuramochi | 76c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Miho Kuramochi | 77c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Miho Kuramochi | 67c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miho Kuramochi | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Saskatoon: Avery Alexander vs Miho Kuramochithis page
- ITF Women Saskatoon: Completed Match: Avery Alexander vs Miho KuramochiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.