Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212bcc876ff7d5e9cd51cc90e9f10cef7657e42b6fe6f91c1343a943c9395871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lehigh Mountain Hawksof Bucknell Bison, Lehigh Mountain Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 4,100$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.07 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison | 1c | 3,450$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison | 22c | 2,918$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 1,852$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.12 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucknell Bison | 29c | 1,316$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Bucknell Bison | 24c | 1,314$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 1,209$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bucknell Bison | 33c | 1,134$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 1,107$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 992.38$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.56 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison | 17c | 830$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Bucknell Bison | 44c | 798.28$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 76c | 729.65$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 80c | 427.06$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bucknell Bison | 32c | 310.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 307.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Bucknell Bison | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 297.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bucknell Bison | 31c | 297.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 60c | 284.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 257.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bucknell Bison | 32c | 218.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Bucknell Bison | 32c | 195.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…a65ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 80c | 186.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bucknell Bison | 32c | 182.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 155.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Bucknell Bison | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucknell Bison | 32c | 129.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 77c | 99.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 99.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bucknell Bison | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucknell Bison | 29c | 95.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucknell Bison | 20c | 90.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 67c | 89.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 72.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 79c | 72.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 67.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 79c | 66.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bucknell Bison | 17c | 65.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 69c | 63.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 78c | 57.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucknell Bison | 31c | 57.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 49.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 26.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksthis page
- Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-5.5)Lehigh Mountain Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.