Champions League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2168369b1a4a8fa911b0c70b6db74468c2981bc5dedfcf4016b73385e7ba3dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 12c | 75,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 4,002$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 3,033$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 9c | 1,578$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 12c | 1,397$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 12c | 973.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 3c | 642.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…3657backed Yes | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 11c | 549.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 12c | 530.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 12c | 465.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 424.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 9c | 421.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 416.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 4c | 399.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 9c | 336.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…2aecbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 9c | 320.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7579backed Yes | 6c | 306.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 5c | 262.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 12c | 209.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 206.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 197.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 15c | 187.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 12c | 177.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 11c | 167.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…1120backed Yes | 9c | 160.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 8c | 149.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 12c | 138.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 13c | 136.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 12c | 116.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…cab5backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 109.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 14c | 89.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
- Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.