Europa Conference League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x219e0981f255d62da41c831877b8df03bdf239b2aa1c45f1557557215028700b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,520$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.58 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 14c | 329.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 39c | 304.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 7c | 240.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 201.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…5a78backed Over | 69c | 176.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 60c | 93.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 59.1%137 W · 95 L | -19.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Over | 53c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Over | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to AdvanceKuopion PS won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.