Europa Conference League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8cd8cd02ec37c8f7d2e1f73b922860ccab2cc5acaabd9ca591695890edfd311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 30c | 19,437$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,694.66 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 54c | 12,787$6,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.37 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 4,805$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.42 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 4,680$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.59 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 69c | 3,387$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 31c | 3,000$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.49 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 2,902$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.08 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 69c | 2,879$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over | 65c | 2,801$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 2,364$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.6 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 1,770$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.59 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 30c | 1,645$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.93 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 41c | 1,626$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…05d8backed Over | 42c | 1,182$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 848.86$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.56 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 71c | 822.2$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.76 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 8c | 672$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 28c | 599.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 34c | 585.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.74 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 47c | 498.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Over | 40c | 440$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 396.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 72c | 315$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 301.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 294.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 71c | 244.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 56c | 239.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 68c | 222.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 70c | 152.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 29c | 130.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 77c | 129.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 121.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 71c | 102.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 102$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 39c | 98.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 412 | 45.6%188 W · 224 L | +25.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Under | 78c | 63.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 24c | 59.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 232 | 59.1%137 W · 95 L | -19.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 51.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 68c | 44.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 42c | 40.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 68c | 36.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 32c | 34.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 39c | 25.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Over | 47c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 71c | 18.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to AdvanceKuopion PS won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.