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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes53c3,389$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.0441442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes53c2,098$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.188834.1%30 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No52c1,836$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.9333442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c1,727$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.832,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c1,485$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.8777248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes52c1,116$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.8220948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c1,085$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.121,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked No50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No46c986.39$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.272550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c984.25$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.121,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c852.68$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.543,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dab…55dabacked Yes52c758.25$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c721.15$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2542,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No46c576$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8247342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c513.74$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.461,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes52c470.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c430.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9376037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c408.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.151,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No48c378.8$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.984564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes53c358.13$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8120543.9%90 W · 115 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Yes12c299.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.971827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No49c201.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6941645.9%191 W · 225 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009652.1%50 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No47c169.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5963649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes15c131.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.894827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes54c127.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.943036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes46c123.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0434754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4283845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No49c89.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3127737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c81.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7283733%276 W · 561 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No49c76.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0211049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c65.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739b…417ebacked Yes52c54.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes52c33.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820646.1%95 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No52c33.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7944251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1889153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.934323%79 W · 264 L-43.3wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes53c19.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.375474.1%40 W · 14 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+38.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.