Europa Conference League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15adc4cc28a82585fde06126ed4d4a4dd89438a8f41eb2bf1d9349a2530a5a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 71c | 8,401$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.23 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 45c | 3,250$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.5 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 14c | 3,000$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.52 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 47c | 2,732$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 2,239$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.21 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 2,132$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.06 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 47c | 1,241$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 1,176$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Under | 54c | 999.95$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 799.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Over | 47c | 667$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 45c | 622.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 555.61$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 459.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 440.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 423$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 422.84$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 14c | 306.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 53c | 304.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 60c | 226.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 56c | 210$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…13d4backed Over | 48c | 208.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 69c | 196.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 44c | 163.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 136.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 47c | 103.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 92.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 60c | 82.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 65.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 60.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 60c | 44.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 48c | 43.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 59.1%137 W · 95 L | -19.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 31c | 41.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 37c | 39.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 47c | 28.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 26.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to AdvanceKuopion PS won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.