Europa Conference League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bce2b6afce86e79e8e311c137c3c86947c7fc92e9a2d962a653d593ef91b07e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kuopion PSof Kuopion PS, Shamrock Rovers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 36c | 537.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 13c | 356.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1bb7backed Kuopion PS | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kuopion PS | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kuopion PS | 58c | 73.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 43c | 73.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Kuopion PS | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kuopion PS | 62c | 50.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…5ba7backed Kuopion PS | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kuopion PS | 57c | 42.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 38c | 41.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kuopion PS | 65c | 37.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Kuopion PS | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kuopion PS | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 343 | 23%79 W · 264 L | -43.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Kuopion PS | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…6db8backed Kuopion PS | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…9e9ebacked Kuopion PS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to Advancethis page
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.