Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fancy United vs 555 (BO5) - VCL Pacific: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e7bbd4896eff4922b958b7f06f59d6d627b64004fb9666c808c95bafeb0db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 555of Fancy United, 555
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 555 | 50c | 914.56$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.6 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Fancy United | 49c | 779.97$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.19 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Fancy United | 50c | 502.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed 555 | 51c | 343.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Fancy United | 48c | 340.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed 555 | 52c | 282.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 555 | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed 555 | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Fancy United | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Fancy United | 49c | 187.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed 555 | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Fancy United | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Fancy United | 50c | 98.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed 555 | 54c | 98.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed 555 | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fancy United | 49c | 82.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed 555 | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Fancy United | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Fancy United | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Fancy United | 42c | 47.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Fancy United | 49c | 47.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Fancy United | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed 555 | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked 555 | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 555 | 75c | 35.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Fancy United | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Fancy United | 47c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fancy United | 46c | 26.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.