Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221d6d4bd3a2868f0c638239b75a6352200a65c493eccfc1ac9694602fadf765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brown Bearsof Harvard Crimson, Brown Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 6,510$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.03 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Brown Bears | 51c | 6,438$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.09 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 2,500$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.37 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Harvard Crimson | 52c | 2,284$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.7 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Brown Bears | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Harvard Crimson | 50c | 1,499$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Harvard Crimson | 50c | 1,237$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Harvard Crimson | 49c | 1,039$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Brown Bears | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Brown Bears | 46c | 900$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Harvard Crimson | 54c | 866$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Brown Bears | 48c | 745.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Brown Bears | 51c | 490.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Harvard Crimson | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Brown Bears | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brown Bears | 48c | 291.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Brown Bears | 49c | 223.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Harvard Crimson | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson | 52c | 185.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Brown Bears | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Harvard Crimson | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Harvard Crimson | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Brown Bears | 52c | 65.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Brown Bears | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Brown Bears | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brown Bears | 48c | 44.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Harvard Crimson | 49c | 34.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Brown Bears | 48c | 29.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Harvard Crimson | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Harvard Crimson | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Harvard Crimson | 77c | 15.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Harvard Crimson (-7.5)this page
- Brown Bears vs. Harvard CrimsonHarvard Crimson won
- Brown Bears vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 132.5Under won
- Spread: Harvard Crimson (-8.5)Brown Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.