Brown Bears vs. Harvard Crimson

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b9b2963c9fbeea36ae1f8b7f00ff9ad74fbf8dadd8a7f6fcfd4f53098adfea

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Harvard Crimsonof Brown Bears, Harvard Crimson
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,377 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed Brown Bears	22c	5,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	85	17.6%15 W · 70 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Brown Bears	9c	4,000$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.45	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Harvard Crimson	78c	3,436$2,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.33	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears	10c	2,432$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.4	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears	20c	1,913$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.98	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears	14c	1,654$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.68	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears	27c	1,546$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.86	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Brown Bears	6c	1,300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.7	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+7.9wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Brown Bears	21c	1,276$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.88	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Brown Bears	8c	1,011$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.88	558	40.3%225 W · 333 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Harvard Crimson	79c	997$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.86	1,155	50.4%582 W · 573 L	-34.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked Harvard Crimson	79c	988$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.48	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Brown Bears	11c	926.87$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.35	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Harvard Crimson	79c	680.63$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.3	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brown Bears	8c	521$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.13	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears	9c	458.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.83	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Brown Bears	23c	453$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Brown Bears	23c	439$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.97	605	48.9%296 W · 309 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Brown Bears	20c	420$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Brown Bears	20c	387.3$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.29	990	45.6%451 W · 539 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked Harvard Crimson	79c	367.1$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.09	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5079…0f50backed Brown Bears	24c	320$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Brown Bears	7c	268.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Harvard Crimson	78c	265.81$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.79	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Brown Bears	8c	262.64$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Brown Bears	22c	260$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Harvard Crimson	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	113	62.8%71 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…e567backed Harvard Crimson	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brown Bears	22c	200$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.27	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Harvard Crimson	79c	192.5$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.1	934	47.9%447 W · 487 L	-19.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Brown Bears	22c	155.74$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.62	1,152	48.9%563 W · 589 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Brown Bears	21c	133$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.26	408	49.8%203 W · 205 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Harvard Crimson	78c	128.23$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.23	94	70.2%66 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Harvard Crimson	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	97	69.1%67 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Brown Bears	20c	125$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	505	48.9%247 W · 258 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brown Bears	22c	125$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Brown Bears	9c	118.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	716	55.3%396 W · 320 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Harvard Crimson	80c	117.5$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4526…783ebacked Brown Bears	20c	113.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…1df9backed Harvard Crimson	78c	112.05$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Harvard Crimson	78c	102.26$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.58	1,296	45.1%584 W · 712 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Brown Bears	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Brown Bears	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	214	49.5%106 W · 108 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981a…ef4fbacked Brown Bears	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…4d4fbacked Brown Bears	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Harvard Crimson	77c	99.99$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Brown Bears	19c	96.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	1,249	16.4%205 W · 1,044 L	-189.4wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brown Bears	13c	91.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Brown Bears	22c	88.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	208	34.6%72 W · 136 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brown Bears	22c	87.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	378	35.7%135 W · 243 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Brown Bears	21c	79.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	252	39.3%99 W · 153 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Harvard Crimson	79c	78$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Brown Bears	19c	75.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a0…d67cbacked Brown Bears	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13a…a600backed Harvard Crimson	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Brown Bears	25c	61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Harvard Crimson	79c	52.9$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Brown Bears	25c	52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	252	46.4%117 W · 135 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca5…b91cbacked Brown Bears	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+315%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Brown Bears	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	176	34.7%61 W · 115 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6e…db70backed Brown Bears	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Brown Bears	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	107	55.1%59 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Brown Bears	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Brown Bears	22c	49.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Harvard Crimson	77c	44.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	104	64.4%67 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b9…292abacked Harvard Crimson	79c	34.18$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.18	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	72cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed Harvard Crimson	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15c1…55f3backed Harvard Crimson	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d8…643ebacked Harvard Crimson	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	74cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Harvard Crimson	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Harvard Crimson	77c	24.73$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.69	703	49.6%349 W · 354 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Harvard Crimson	78c	23.75$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.12	37	86.5%32 W · 5 L	+6.0wins	+0.16per pick	70cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Harvard Crimson	77c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.06	430	53.3%229 W · 201 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Harvard Crimson	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	814	53.1%432 W · 382 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x276e…056dbacked Harvard Crimson	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brown Bears vs. Harvard Crimsonthis page
Brown Bears vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 132.5Under won
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-7.5)Brown Bears won
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-8.5)Brown Bears won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brown Bears vs. Harvard Crimson

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event