Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Barça eSports vs DNSTY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22de7abc1a3274f6760bae72af0f7280438755cf67e0a491702bb6d42b130340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DNSTYof Barça eSports, DNSTY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed DNSTY | 54c | 2,695$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.61 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed DNSTY | 55c | 2,303$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Barça eSports | 61c | 1,733$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Barça eSports | 36c | 1,213$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.79 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barça eSports | 30c | 1,013$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked DNSTY | 23c | 521.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed DNSTY | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Barça eSports | 41c | 330.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barça eSports | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed DNSTY | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DNSTY | 36c | 165$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Barça eSports | 46c | 145.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barça eSports | 69c | 141.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed DNSTY | 45c | 138.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Barça eSports | 55c | 134.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed DNSTY | 32c | 130$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed DNSTY | 34c | 122.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked DNSTY | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed DNSTY | 71c | 96.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed DNSTY | 32c | 94.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed DNSTY | 33c | 92.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Barça eSports | 66c | 87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Barça eSports | 35c | 84.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barça eSports | 78c | 77.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed DNSTY | 57c | 66.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DNSTY | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed DNSTY | 38c | 37.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Barça eSports | 62c | 36.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed DNSTY | 61c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Barça eSports | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Barça eSports | 76c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs DNSTY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs DNSTY (+1.5)DNSTY won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs DNSTY (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsDNSTY won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs DNSTY - Map 2 WinnerDNSTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.