CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2447de2ad19d2c75371b04d558c4ba1ff12e6011a115cb9fe065ab86edd74251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Johnny Speeds, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 79c | 3,111$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.13 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Johnny Speeds | 43c | 3,100$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Johnny Speeds | 15c | 1,751$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed magic | 57c | 1,588$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Johnny Speeds | 20c | 1,100$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked magic | 57c | 768.42$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.42 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked magic | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed magic | 57c | 343.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Johnny Speeds | 13c | 327.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 277.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 270.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 229.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Johnny Speeds | 8c | 180.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Johnny Speeds | 22c | 157.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Johnny Speeds | 16c | 121.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Johnny Speeds | 21c | 120.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed magic | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 96.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 19c | 95.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed magic | 74c | 81.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Johnny Speeds | 18c | 76.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed magic | 68c | 62.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 60.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 56.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Johnny Speeds | 22c | 53.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 44.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…bee6backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed magic | 79c | 25.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked magic | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 76c | 24.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed magic | 63c | 24.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…4d74backed magic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.