Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nottingham: Brooke Black vs Andre Lukosiute
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d775d00da97290ce43815d1132ad0820f812a7985d5a3fb45eafb9aba3786a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooke Blackof Brooke Black, Andre Lukosiute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andre Lukosiute | 39c | 8,939$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brooke Black | 58c | 2,475$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brooke Black | 55c | 2,081$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brooke Black | 59c | 1,668$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brooke Black | 58c | 1,160$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.87 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Andre Lukosiute | 41c | 800.31$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Brooke Black | 56c | 728.7$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.7 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Brooke Black | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Brooke Black | 57c | 190.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Andre Lukosiute | 44c | 186.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brooke Black | 42c | 184.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Brooke Black | 55c | 180.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Brooke Black | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andre Lukosiute | 42c | 172.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Brooke Black | 59c | 170.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Brooke Black | 76c | 167.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Brooke Black | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andre Lukosiute | 41c | 107.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Andre Lukosiute | 59c | 97.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Brooke Black | 59c | 93.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Brooke Black | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Brooke Black | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Andre Lukosiute | 56c | 86.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Andre Lukosiute | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Brooke Black | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andre Lukosiute | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Brooke Black | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Andre Lukosiute | 37c | 74.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Andre Lukosiute | 57c | 72.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Brooke Black | 42c | 59.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Brooke Black | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Brooke Black | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Brooke Black | 59c | 49.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Brooke Black | 43c | 46.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brooke Black | 50c | 44.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Brooke Black | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Brooke Black | 55c | 32.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Andre Lukosiute | 45c | 31.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Brooke Black | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Brooke Black | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Brooke Black | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Brooke Black | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Brooke Black | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Andre Lukosiute | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Andre Lukosiute | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Andre Lukosiute | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Brooke Black | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.