Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f5824ae18c06001d962971c04a8deb98df57952c011a1f9ba369bf88b0a820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Galions | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.46 | 1,517 | 50.6%767 W · 750 L | +75.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed TLN Pirates | 57c | 2,967$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.71 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…4c5fbacked Galions | 45c | 2,239$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 41c | 1,983$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.94 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 1,978$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.08 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Galions | 39c | 1,803$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +7.7wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +78%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 1,800$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.02 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Galions | 39c | 1,675$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.65 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 1,638$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.35 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Galions | 43c | 1,446$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.59 | 655 | 43.1%282 W · 373 L | -28.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 630.51$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 833 | 54.5%454 W · 379 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 584$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 559.77$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.46 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TLN Pirates | 58c | 523.51$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 1,137 | 48.3%549 W · 588 L | +35.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked TLN Pirates | 30c | 431$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +260.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 396.61$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 379.53$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Galions | 43c | 346.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 312 | 42.6%133 W · 179 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 342.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 443 | 42.9%190 W · 253 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 308.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 1,412 | 44.8%633 W · 779 L | -15.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 48c | 270.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 662 | 63%417 W · 245 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Galions | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 589 | 48.9%288 W · 301 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Galions | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 240 | 48.8%117 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 234.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 213.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 278 | 38.8%108 W · 170 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Galions | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Galions | 41c | 190.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 1,226 | 43.6%535 W · 691 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 154.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Galions | 42c | 143.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 126.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 400 | 51.3%205 W · 195 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,817 | 51.1%929 W · 888 L | +52.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Galions | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,239 | 54.5%675 W · 564 L | +51.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Galions | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 99.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked TLN Pirates | 65c | 92.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 666 | 55.9%372 W · 294 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked TLN Pirates | 30c | 92.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 474 | 52.1%247 W · 227 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 461 | 43.8%202 W · 259 L | -33.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 80.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 262 | 43.1%113 W · 149 L | -22.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 70.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked TLN Pirates | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 316 | 53.8%170 W · 146 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Galions | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked TLN Pirates | 32c | 61.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked TLN Pirates | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed TLN Pirates | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Galions | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Galions | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Galions | 41c | 36.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 22.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Galions | 53c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…4a96backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.