TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof TLN Pirates, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c29…167ebacked Galions75c8,048$6,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.522755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked Galions51c5,874$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.8222667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked TLN Pirates22c4,997$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.4216760.5%101 W · 66 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed TLN Pirates29c4,394$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.816750.9%85 W · 82 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked TLN Pirates34c4,379$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027352.4%143 W · 130 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked TLN Pirates50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029843.3%129 W · 169 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…2371backed Galions52c3,800$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.471369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+56.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed TLN Pirates47c2,563$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.8113761.3%84 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed Galions74c2,418$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.952774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed TLN Pirates44c2,255$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.3335654.8%195 W · 161 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed TLN Pirates32c2,218$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5116060.6%97 W · 63 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked TLN Pirates42c1,981$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6969259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Galions72c1,745$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.352,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Galions64c1,625$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4939140.4%158 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked TLN Pirates18c1,614$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8768915.2%105 W · 584 L-31.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked TLN Pirates31c1,605$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3917045.9%78 W · 92 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked TLN Pirates24c1,530$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.117452.3%91 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed TLN Pirates42c1,412$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.944753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Galions72c1,241$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.532,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Galions71c1,241$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.631,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed TLN Pirates51c1,179$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034737.5%130 W · 217 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Galions80c1,120$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0814647.9%70 W · 76 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb26f…9536backed Galions72c1,101$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked TLN Pirates48c1,035$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6636458.8%214 W · 150 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TLN Pirates27c1,011$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.751,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7355…824cbacked TLN Pirates28c1,007$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.826459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed TLN Pirates24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Galions57c960.99$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8314441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Galions56c918.58$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.6322158.4%129 W · 92 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Galions51c880.95$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2321953.9%118 W · 101 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked TLN Pirates35c862.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed TLN Pirates35c857.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.996558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Galions70c831.72$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1146451.7%240 W · 224 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Galions49c820.51$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.782,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed TLN Pirates6c748.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9156610.4%59 W · 507 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked TLN Pirates25c689$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.254763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Galions73c683.86$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6484360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed TLN Pirates25c683$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.754153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c0…5135backed TLN Pirates15c679.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bee…ee2abacked Galions51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.517944.7%80 W · 99 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TLN Pirates30c626.56$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9797744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Galions80c626.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.338154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55db…8db6backed Galions57c559.68$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed TLN Pirates26c534.62$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13952046%239 W · 281 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Galions51c500.79$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3916833.9%57 W · 111 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed TLN Pirates26c499.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.953450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Galions64c492.7$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3254555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Galions47c475.55$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0414643.2%63 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Galions49c460.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0710359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Galions72c460.83$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6587443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1031…2febbacked TLN Pirates24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Galions68c405.54$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.642,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Galions73c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed Galions73c400$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5515862.7%99 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5cc0backed TLN Pirates41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.853740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Galions50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20069642.4%295 W · 401 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…7f23backed TLN Pirates28c400$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed TLN Pirates38c393.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024858.1%144 W · 104 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Galions69c389.59$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.712,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked TLN Pirates24c352$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4810340.8%42 W · 61 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed TLN Pirates38c350.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.391,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed TLN Pirates23c348$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6226939%105 W · 164 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed TLN Pirates29c337.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9823243.5%101 W · 131 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Galions76c326.21$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2946960.1%282 W · 187 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed TLN Pirates35c311.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.455045.3%249 W · 301 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked TLN Pirates26c306.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7529045.5%132 W · 158 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Galions76c306$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4479342.1%334 W · 459 L-26.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2364…18f2backed TLN Pirates25c302.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7410168.3%69 W · 32 L+14.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x456d…adf4backed TLN Pirates35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed Galions52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14427941.2%115 W · 164 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Galions49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15396348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked TLN Pirates28c295.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8288949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked TLN Pirates49c287.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016540.6%67 W · 98 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked TLN Pirates25c285$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.254654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions65c284.68$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.412,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked TLN Pirates72c279.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed TLN Pirates34c279.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959025.6%23 W · 67 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Galions64c274.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.342,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Galions72c268.51$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.712,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed TLN Pirates28c262.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5147136.9%174 W · 297 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed TLN Pirates42c257$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.671,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac3…6ec2backed Galions73c255.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5213057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Galions55c252$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.412241%50 W · 72 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed TLN Pirates27c251.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6745050.9%229 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Galions55c245.05$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.717357.5%42 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a3…3e5cbacked TLN Pirates41c238.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.667960.8%48 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed TLN Pirates46c224.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5915361.4%94 W · 59 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Galions71c223$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.311,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed Galions67c219.1$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.612449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed TLN Pirates48c208.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018061.1%110 W · 70 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc904…2025backed TLN Pirates22c208.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.944557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TLN Pirates30c205.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.631,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked TLN Pirates37c201.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.348147.2%227 W · 254 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked TLN Pirates15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039748.6%193 W · 204 L+28.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Galions78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4437643.1%162 W · 214 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TLN Pirates28c198.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.971,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked TLN Pirates26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7933…4e10backed TLN Pirates28c191.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed TLN Pirates11c187$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8916032.5%52 W · 108 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Galions34c186.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4110040%40 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.