Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26daa27a09832b3f64f95326ac11df1e93cc24be7669987385b7dd45d962755c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 57c | 5,144$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.99 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 43c | 4,444$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.08 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 43c | 3,580$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.81 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 45c | 3,319$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.14 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 57c | 2,307$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 17c | 1,873$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d9c9backed Over | 56c | 1,577$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 44c | 1,308$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.44 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 56c | 1,139$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.37 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 953.08$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 72c | 699.08$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.86 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 589.69$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 59c | 409.31$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 68c | 400.3$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +260.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 54c | 358.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 55c | 343.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Over | 56c | 292$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 47c | 255.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 28c | 243.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 185$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 26c | 164.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 304 | 45.7%139 W · 165 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 56c | 138.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 45c | 132.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 27c | 128$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 55c | 120.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 164 | 62.2%102 W · 62 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 56c | 96.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 43c | 53.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Under | 47c | 50.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 45c | 44.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 45c | 44.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 47c | 40.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 56c | 39.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 56c | 29.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 44c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…e924backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Over | 55c | 25.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 24.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.