Lol · resolved market
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a7892d5d1b020f54af035d214467f3dc9dc15a6fdd808575ece7fd5209a3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof TLN Pirates, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 5,145$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.68 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TLN Pirates | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed TLN Pirates | 5c | 4,100$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TLN Pirates | 7c | 3,570$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked TLN Pirates | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked TLN Pirates | 18c | 2,078$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.24 | 257 | 33.1%85 W · 172 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked TLN Pirates | 12c | 1,745$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed TLN Pirates | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed TLN Pirates | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 699.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed TLN Pirates | 16c | 499.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TLN Pirates | 11c | 478.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed TLN Pirates | 15c | 440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked TLN Pirates | 4c | 435.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 215 | 44.7%96 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed TLN Pirates | 8c | 406.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 369.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed TLN Pirates | 3c | 345$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked TLN Pirates | 12c | 254.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 655 | 56.2%368 W · 287 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…dd3abacked TLN Pirates | 20c | 244.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a40cbacked TLN Pirates | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 33.5%73 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 199.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed TLN Pirates | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TLN Pirates | 12c | 160.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 159$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 156.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked TLN Pirates | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed TLN Pirates | 16c | 126.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 124.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked TLN Pirates | 9c | 116.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…e354backed TLN Pirates | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed TLN Pirates | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 515 | 54.4%280 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…678fbacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…5067backed TLN Pirates | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 59.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Galions | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 401 | 56.9%228 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Galions | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Galions | 80c | 24.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Galions | 78c | 23.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Galions | 80c | 19.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 400 | 55.8%223 W · 177 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.