TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea87…dd3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked DOCISK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffsbacked MAGAZA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$28.27
LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+59%+$17.7
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$17.69
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.62
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.56
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$14.29
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$13.73
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.