Lol · resolved market
LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1bb9bdbea04c0105c123f0e09c2c57ceb47e00e91ea4324072b684e9885496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed BRUTE | 44c | 3,189$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.68 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked eSuba | 54c | 2,330$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.21 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked BRUTE | 35c | 1,237$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.25 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed eSuba | 65c | 455$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed eSuba | 64c | 356$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed BRUTE | 15c | 350.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed eSuba | 66c | 338.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed BRUTE | 47c | 235.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BRUTE | 46c | 203.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked eSuba | 63c | 201$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked eSuba | 68c | 165.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed eSuba | 53c | 161.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked eSuba | 67c | 110.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BRUTE | 51c | 110.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…e04fbacked eSuba | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BRUTE | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BRUTE | 23c | 77.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed eSuba | 59c | 75.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked BRUTE | 39c | 68.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BRUTE | 23c | 68.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed BRUTE | 33c | 64.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked eSuba | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed BRUTE | 27c | 54.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed eSuba | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…17bdbacked BRUTE | 45c | 53.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed eSuba | 51c | 50.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked eSuba | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…dd3abacked eSuba | 63c | 47.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed eSuba | 55c | 47.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked BRUTE | 31c | 40.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked BRUTE | 37c | 37.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed eSuba | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked eSuba | 62c | 29.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked BRUTE | 40c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1745…a0b4backed eSuba | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed BRUTE | 52c | 25.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…94ecbacked eSuba | 67c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed eSuba | 64c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked eSuba | 72c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked eSuba | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed eSuba | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…9a5fbacked eSuba | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnereSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnereSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.