Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ffd76051865e046b247d8d36a7695ce8142c0bd03fb318bd2f25b67d69ff1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 40c | 9,478$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 2,527$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.76 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 2,301$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 60c | 2,134$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.4 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 29c | 1,243$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.86 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 34c | 1,184$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.72 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 37c | 1,087$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.73 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 21c | 770.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 671.3$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 627.8$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 603.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 491$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 33c | 485.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.32 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 369.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 60c | 360$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 349.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 59c | 318.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 61c | 310.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed No | 65c | 302.1$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 36c | 288$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 34c | 221.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 210.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 20c | 171.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 167.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 8c | 135.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 79c | 127.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 124.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 60c | 121.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 33c | 119.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 119$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 25c | 110.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 25c | 109.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 62c | 77.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 64.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 61.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…7d6dbacked Yes | 39c | 60.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 38c | 60.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…aa9cbacked Yes | 65c | 52.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 52.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 61c | 50.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 62c | 49.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a9…5950backed Yes | 33c | 48.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 76c | 35.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…40c8backed No | 62c | 34.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…b432backed No | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 22.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 78c | 16.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will MŠK Žilina vs. GKS GieKSa Katowice end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.