Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25090b441a86e2fa4439bba8b51857179a5925ad2a621971572639bec8402d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed L1ga Team | 75c | 899.99$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 26c | 543.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 18c | 437.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 18c | 388.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Inner Circle | 12c | 360.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Inner Circle | 29c | 275.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Inner Circle | 15c | 253$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Inner Circle | 28c | 237.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed L1ga Team | 68c | 220.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed L1ga Team | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Inner Circle | 44c | 197.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Inner Circle | 34c | 178.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 154.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Inner Circle | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 124.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed L1ga Team | 66c | 114.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Inner Circle | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team | 72c | 86.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Inner Circle | 36c | 70.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 63.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked L1ga Team | 72c | 55.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed L1ga Team | 72c | 54.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed L1ga Team | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.